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UNAN-Managua vs San Marcos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UNAN-Managua host San Marcos in the Liga Primera. UNAN-Managua go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: UNAN-Managua at 1.17 goals for, 1.28 against; San Marcos at 1.29 for, 1.96 against. Head-to-head, UNAN-Managua have won 1 to San Marcos's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward UNAN-Managua. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
UNAN-Managua
15%
Draws
26%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNAN-Managua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • UNAN-Managua have won more games recently than San Marcos.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on UNAN-Managua taking it.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 20%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAN-Managua San Marcos
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs UNAN-Managua
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAN-Managua 40 / 100
San Marcos 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAN-Managua San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNAN-Managua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

UNAN-Managua's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: UNAN-Managua stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: San Marcos registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAN-Managua VS San Marcos
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAN-Managua

(Home)
14 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 3
Diriangen
12 Oct
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
UNAN-Managua
08 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 0
Esteli
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
Page 1 of 6

San Marcos

(Away)
15 Oct
Managua FC
3 : 2
San Marcos
11 Oct
San Marcos
0 : 2
Sport Sebaco
07 Oct
San Marcos
1 : 2
Diriangen
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 12 10 2 0 37:12 32
2 Diriangen 12 9 2 1 27:12 29
3 Esteli 12 6 4 2 22:9 22
4 UNAN-Managua 12 6 3 3 14:11 21
5 Sport Sebaco 11 5 2 4 13:17 17
6 Walter Ferreti 12 4 2 6 23:21 14
7 San Marcos 12 3 1 8 11:21 10
8 Matagalpa 11 3 0 8 6:25 9
9 Jalapa 12 1 3 8 7:18 6
10 Rancho Santana 12 1 3 8 9:23 6
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)