Sport Picks

Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UNAN-Managua host Walter Ferreti in the Liga Primera 2025/2026. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Walter Ferreti have shipped 2.13 goals a game lately, while UNAN-Managua have conceded 2.13 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, UNAN-Managua have won 0 to Walter Ferreti's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back UNAN-Managua to edge this. UNAN-Managua in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

UNAN-Managua

28%

Draws

22%

Walter Ferreti

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: UNAN-Managua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Walter Ferreti has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to UNAN-Managua.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for UNAN-Managua.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Primera 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 20%

Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UNAN-Managua	Walter Ferreti
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	7	9
Draws	5	8
Losses	17	13
Goals Scored	0.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	2.13	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Liga Primera

Walter Ferreti vs UNAN-Managua

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Jan 19, 2026 Liga Primera

UNAN-Managua vs Walter Ferreti

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Sep 21, 2025 Liga Primera

UNAN-Managua vs Walter Ferreti

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

1:4

Jul 18, 2025 Liga Primera

Walter Ferreti vs UNAN-Managua

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 3 - 0

3:0

Mar 20, 2025 Liga Primera

Walter Ferreti vs UNAN-Managua

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAN-Managua 49 / 100

Walter Ferreti 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UNAN-Managua Walter Ferreti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAN-Managua scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Walter Ferreti let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

UNAN-Managua went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Walter Ferreti lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAN-Managua VS Walter Ferreti

0.88 Goals Scored 1.38

2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Diriangen	18	12	3	3	40:19	39
2	Esteli	18	11	4	3	41:19	37
3	Jalapa	18	9	6	3	29:16	33
4	Managua FC	18	8	5	5	22:18	29
5	Matagalpa	18	5	7	6	30:24	22
6	Walter Ferreti	18	5	6	7	18:28	21
7	Sport Sebaco	18	6	2	10	23:24	20
8	UNAN-Managua	18	4	4	10	21:34	16
9	Rancho Santana	18	4	4	10	20:43	16
10	Real Madriz	18	4	3	11	14:33	15