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Undy vs Afan Lido

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Hanbury S.
63' Event
Griffiths L.

AI Match Summary

Afan Lido in this Cymru South 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afan Lido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Undy
20%
Draws
80%
Afan Lido
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afan Lido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Afan Lido lately — more wins on the board than Undy.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Afan Lido taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Undy Clean Sheet 10%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Undy Afan Lido
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 5 16
Draws 2 3
Losses 24 16
Goals Scored 1.06 1.51
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2022 Cymru South
Undy vs Afan Lido
0:2
Aug 10, 2021 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Undy
4:2
Nov 30, 2019 Cymru South
Undy vs Afan Lido
5:3
Aug 17, 2019 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Undy
0:1
Jan 19, 2019 Division 1
Undy vs Afan Lido
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Undy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Afan Lido Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanbury S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Griffiths L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Undy 10 / 100
Afan Lido 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Undy Afan Lido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afan Lido Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Afan Lido conceded in 69% of 35 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Undy scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Afan Lido has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Undy VS Afan Lido
0 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Undy

(Home)
26 Jun
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Undy
13 Jul
Undy
1 : 4
Newport
08 Jul
Undy
0 : 4
Newport
01 Jul
Undy
0 : 7
Newport
30 Apr
Cambrian United
3 : 0
Undy
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Afan Lido

(Away)
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)