Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Undy in this FA Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chepstow Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chepstow Town lately — more wins on the board than Undy.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Chepstow Town taking it.
- Chepstow Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Undy, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Undy Clean Sheet 10%
Chepstow Town Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Undy | Chepstow Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 17 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 24 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.97 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2021 FAW Welsh Cup
Undy vs Chepstow Town
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Undy 10 / 100
Chepstow Town 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Undy Chepstow Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chepstow Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chepstow Town let in goals in 71% of their last 17 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Chepstow Town registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Undy scored in 55% of their last 31 games.
Scoring Trends
Undy VS Chepstow Town
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Undy
(Home) 26 Jun
Caerau Ely
2 : 0 Undy
13 Jul
Undy
1 : 4 Newport
08 Jul
Undy
0 : 4 Newport
01 Jul
Undy
0 : 7 Newport
30 Apr
Cambrian United
3 : 0 Undy
Page 1 of 7
13 Jul
Undy
1 : 4 Newport
08 Jul
Undy
0 : 4 Newport
01 Jul
Undy
0 : 7 Newport
18 Apr
Undy
1 : 3 Llantwit Major
09 Apr
Undy
1 : 1 Goytre Utd
Page 1 of 4
Chepstow Town
(Away) 21 Sept
Chepstow Town
0 : 1 Pill
11 Nov
South Gower AFC
3 : 2 Chepstow Town
14 Oct
Chepstow Town
4 : 0 Abercarn United
16 Sept
Chepstow Town
7 : 0 Pill
08 Oct
Chepstow Town
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 4
11 Nov
South Gower AFC
3 : 2 Chepstow Town
13 Aug
Undy
3 : 0 Chepstow Town
03 Oct
Afan Lido
4 : 0 Chepstow Town
07 Dec
Cambrian United
3 : 1 Chepstow Town
09 Nov
Goytre Utd
0 : 1 Chepstow Town
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Penlan Club 0
Ynysygerwn 2
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Penybont -
TBD -
Undy 3
Chepstow Town 0
Llanuwchllyn 2
Denbigh 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Prestatyn -
TBD -
Caersws FC 2
Rhostyllen 3
Buckley 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Porthmadog 3
Llanberis FC 0
Monmouth 3
Cwmamman United 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
Goytre Utd -
TBD -
Abergavenny Town 1
Taffs Well 3
Pencoed 5
Treharris Athletic 0
Llantwit Major 4
Risca United 0
Llandudno FC 4
Llay Welfare 2
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Caerau Ely 3
Brecon Corinthians 8
Bala -
TBD -
Brymbo 3
Llansantffraid Village 1
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Penydarren 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Llanrhaeadr -
TBD -
Saltney Town 3
Felinheli 1
Penrhyncoch -
TBD -
Aberaeron 1
Ynyshir Albions 3
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Porthcawl Town 0
Aber Valley 2
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Holyhead 1
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Newtown -
TBD -
Llanelwy 2
Berriew FC 7
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Cardiff Airport 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 3
Conwy Borough -
TBD -
Caergybi 1
Cefn Albion 4
TNS -
TBD -
Llanfairfechan Town 1
Llanrwst United 2
Pure Swansea -
TBD -
Caldicot 6
Penparcau FC 3
Llanidloes Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor City -
Pontymister 1
Dinas Powys 2
Port Talbot 0
Afan Lido 6
Llandudno Albion 5
Llanerchymedd 1
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Ammanford Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers -
Flint Town -
TBD -
Llanfair United 2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 3
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
Trefelin 8
Fairwater 1
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
Rhyl 1
Rhydymwyn 0
Holywell Town FC 2
Gresford 3
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Bodedern 5
Llandyrnog United 1
Llangefni 0
Ruthin Town 1
Pontyclun FC 0
Pontardawe 3
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Barry Town -
TBD -
Garden Village 2
Goytre AFC 3
1/32-finals
Ynysygerwn 1
Cambrian United 3
Penybont 7
Undy 0
Denbigh 0
Caernarfon 4
Prestatyn 6
Rhostyllen 0
Buckley 3
Porthmadog 1
Monmouth 3
Llanelli 0
Goytre Utd 0
Taffs Well 3
Pencoed 0
Llantwit Major 3
Llandudno FC 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Haverfordwest 6
Brecon Corinthians 0
Bala 17
Brymbo 1
Pontypridd United 6
Penydarren 0
Llanrhaeadr 3
Saltney Town 5
Penrhyncoch 4
Ynyshir Albions 1
Aberystwyth 9
Aber Valley 0
Cefn Druids 1
Holyhead 0
Newtown 6
Berriew FC 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Conwy Borough 3
Cefn Albion 2
TNS 6
Llanrwst United 0
Pure Swansea 6
Caldicot 3
Llanidloes Town 1
Bangor City 4
Dinas Powys 2
Afan Lido 1
Llandudno Albion 3
Guilsfield 5
Ammanford Town 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Flint Town 5
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 0
Briton Ferry 0
Trefelin 3
Connahs Q. 5
Rhyl 0
Gresford 1
Colwyn Bay 2
Bodedern 4
Ruthin Town 5
Pontardawe 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Barry Town 2
Goytre AFC 0
1/16-finals
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Caernarfon 3
Prestatyn 0
Buckley 2
Monmouth 0
Taffs Well 2
Llantwit Major 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Haverfordwest 2
Bala 5
Pontypridd United 0
Saltney Town 2
Penrhyncoch 1
Aberystwyth 4
Cefn Druids 1
Newtown 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Conwy Borough 0
TNS 1
Pure Swansea 1
Bangor City 0
Dinas Powys 2
Guilsfield 4
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
Flint Town 3
Trefelin 0
Connahs Q. 4
Colwyn Bay 5
Ruthin Town 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Barry Town 0
1/8-finals
Penybont 1
Caernarfon 0
Buckley 0
Taffs Well 2
Haverfordwest 1
Bala 3
Saltney Town 0
Aberystwyth 1
Carmarthen Town 0
TNS 1
Pure Swansea 1
Guilsfield 2
Flint Town 0
Connahs Q. 2
Colwyn Bay 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Quarter-finals
Penybont 3
Taffs Well 2
Bala 2
Aberystwyth 1
TNS 2
Guilsfield 0
Connahs Q. 0
Colwyn Bay 2
Semi-finals
Penybont 1
Bala 0
TNS 1
Colwyn Bay 0
Final
Penybont 2
TNS 3
