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Undy vs Pontypridd United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Vincent D.
41' Event
Jarman D.
54' Event
Fahiya D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Undy
15%
Draws
85%
Pontypridd United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontypridd United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pontypridd United have won more games recently than Undy.
  • Model gives Pontypridd United a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Undy Clean Sheet 10%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Undy Pontypridd United
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 18
Draws 2 7
Losses 24 9
Goals Scored 1 2.12
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 Cymru South
Undy vs Pontypridd United
2:2
Aug 28, 2021 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Undy
5:1
Mar 6, 2020 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Undy
3:0
Feb 29, 2020 Cymru South
Undy vs Pontypridd United
0:0
Apr 27, 2019 Division 1
Pontypridd United vs Undy
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Undy Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarman D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parry C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Pontypridd United Compare

Top Goalscorer Vincent D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fahiya D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Undy 10 / 100
Pontypridd United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Undy Pontypridd United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontypridd United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Pontypridd United let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Attacking prowess: Undy scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Pontypridd United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Undy VS Pontypridd United
0 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Undy

(Home)
26 Jun
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Undy
13 Jul
Undy
1 : 4
Newport
08 Jul
Undy
0 : 4
Newport
01 Jul
Undy
0 : 7
Newport
30 Apr
Cambrian United
3 : 0
Undy
Page 1 of 6

Pontypridd United

(Away)
06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3
Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2
Pontypridd United
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4
Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)