Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Undy vs Trefelin

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Undy Logo

Undy

1 - 2
FT
Trefelin Logo

Trefelin

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Jones-Thomas M.
59' Event
Clarke J.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Gidney J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Trefelin in this Cymru South 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trefelin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Undy
20%
Draws
80%
Trefelin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trefelin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trefelin lately — more wins on the board than Undy.
  • Win probability leans Trefelin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Undy Clean Sheet 10%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Undy Trefelin
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 5 23
Draws 2 5
Losses 24 10
Goals Scored 1.06 2.26
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 Cymru South
Undy vs Trefelin
1:2
Jul 27, 2021 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Undy
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Undy Compare

Top Goalscorer Gidney J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Trefelin Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones-Thomas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Undy 10 / 100
Trefelin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Undy Trefelin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trefelin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Trefelin let in goals in 63% of their last 38 matches.

Trefelin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Undy scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Undy VS Trefelin
0 Goals Scored 3.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Undy

(Home)
26 Jun
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Undy
13 Jul
Undy
1 : 4
Newport
08 Jul
Undy
0 : 4
Newport
01 Jul
Undy
0 : 7
Newport
30 Apr
Cambrian United
3 : 0
Undy
Page 1 of 7

Trefelin

(Away)
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1
Penybont
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Trefelin
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Trefelin
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)