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UNFP vs Rouen

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mendy B.
18' Event
Rocha Santos K.
29' Event
Abi C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between UNFP and Rouen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rouen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
UNFP
35%
Draws
52%
Rouen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Rouen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rouen a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
UNFP Clean Sheet 10%
Rouen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNFP Rouen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 13
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.23 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.3 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2025 Club Friendly
UNFP vs Rouen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNFP Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendy B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Rouen Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha Santos K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abi C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNFP 10 / 100
Rouen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNFP Rouen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNFP found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Rouen conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

UNFP has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UNFP VS Rouen
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UNFP

(Home)
08 Aug
Le Mans
1 : 1
UNFP
04 Aug
Lorient
5 : 1
UNFP
28 Jul
UNFP
1 : 4
Red Star
15 Jul
Dijon
5 : 2
UNFP
06 Aug
Paris FC
2 : 2
UNFP
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Rouen

(Away)
07 Aug
Rouen
0 : 0
Cannes
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
19 May
Rouen
1 : 1
Laval
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