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Unia Skierniewice vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski, Skierniewice
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Oshafi A.
Assist: Zbrog J.
28'
Mierzwa J.
30'
Dudek S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Unia Skierniewice and Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Skierniewice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Unia Skierniewice
20%
Draws
51%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Unia Skierniewice come out ahead of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Unia Skierniewice Clean Sheet 15%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Skierniewice Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Division 1
Unia Skierniewice vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3:2
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Unia Skierniewice vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0:1
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Unia Skierniewice vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2:0
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Unia Skierniewice vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Unia Skierniewice vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Skierniewice Compare

Top Goalscorer Wolinski E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burkiewicz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Oshafi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Konstantyn J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Skierniewice 31 / 100
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Skierniewice Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Unia Skierniewice scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Unia Skierniewice remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Unia Skierniewice VS Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Skierniewice

(Home)
10 Oct
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
02 Oct
Wisla Plock
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
20 Sept
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
07 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
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Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Away)
10 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 4
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
02 Oct
Radomiak Radom
7 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0
LKS Lodz
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0
Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 6 3 1 19:8 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 10 5 2 3 17:13 17
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
4 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
5 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
6 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Chrobry Glogow 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
13 Arka Gdynia 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
14 Unia Skierniewice 10 3 2 5 12:17 11
15 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
16 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
17 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)