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Unia Skierniewice vs Victoria Sulejowek Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Soltysinski S.
18'
Gasiul K.
45' Event
Sabillo K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 game between Unia Skierniewice and Victoria Sulejowek finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Skierniewice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Unia Skierniewice
15%
Draws
59%
Victoria Sulejowek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Victoria Sulejowek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Unia Skierniewice's 1.72 goals per match outpaces what Victoria Sulejowek have produced (1.67).
  • Victoria Sulejowek are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Unia Skierniewice Clean Sheet 20%
Victoria Sulejowek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Skierniewice Victoria Sulejowek
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.72 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Unia Skierniewice vs Victoria Sulejowek
5:0
Aug 25, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Victoria Sulejowek vs Unia Skierniewice
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Unia Skierniewice vs Victoria Sulejowek
3:2
Mar 2, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Victoria Sulejowek vs Unia Skierniewice
0:0
Aug 12, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Unia Skierniewice vs Victoria Sulejowek
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Skierniewice Compare

Top Goalscorer Soltysinski S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sabillo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Victoria Sulejowek Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Skierniewice 12 / 100
Victoria Sulejowek 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Skierniewice Victoria Sulejowek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Sulejowek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unia Skierniewice scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Victoria Sulejowek conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Unia Skierniewice stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Skierniewice VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Skierniewice

(Home)
02 Oct
Wisla Plock
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
20 Sept
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
07 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
28 Aug
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 1
S. Rzeszow
Page 1 of 6

Victoria Sulejowek

(Away)
07 Jun
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 3
Victoria Sulejowek
31 May
Victoria Sulejowek
1 : 0
Pelikan
24 May
Stomil Olsztyn
2 : 1
Victoria Sulejowek
21 May
Victoria Sulejowek
4 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
17 May
Legia II
3 : 1
Victoria Sulejowek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unia Skierniewice 34 23 5 6 81:30 74
2 Legia II 34 21 7 6 75:39 70
3 LKS Lomza 34 18 10 6 68:38 64
4 Warta Sieradz 34 16 7 11 46:42 55
5 Suwalki 34 13 9 12 46:38 48
6 Jagiellonia II 34 13 8 13 54:49 47
7 Swit Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 47:58 47
8 GKS Belchatow 34 12 10 12 52:52 46
9 Bron Radom 34 12 10 12 40:48 46
10 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 7 14 57:64 46
11 MKS Mlawa 34 12 8 14 67:62 44
12 Plock II 34 11 10 13 54:58 43
13 GKS Wikielec 34 10 12 12 39:45 42
14 Stomil Olsztyn 34 11 9 14 44:56 42
15 Victoria Sulejowek 34 11 8 15 52:59 41
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 34 9 14 11 46:60 41
17 Pelikan 34 9 6 19 34:58 33
18 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 34 2 6 26 26:72 12
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)