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Unia Skierniewice vs Victoria Sulejowek

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Unia Skierniewice play Victoria Sulejowek in the III Liga - Group I 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Unia Skierniewice averaged 2.39 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Victoria Sulejowek averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Unia Skierniewice won 3, Victoria Sulejowek won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2025 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Unia Skierniewice and 1.19 for Victoria Sulejowek. This points to a Unia Skierniewice double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Unia Skierniewice
18%
Draws
28%
Victoria Sulejowek
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Unia Skierniewice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Unia Skierniewice picked up more points recently compared to Victoria Sulejowek.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Unia Skierniewice Clean Sheet 20%
Victoria Sulejowek Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Skierniewice Victoria Sulejowek
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.39 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Unia Skierniewice vs Victoria Sulejowek
5:0
Aug 25, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Victoria Sulejowek vs Unia Skierniewice
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Unia Skierniewice vs Victoria Sulejowek
3:2
Mar 2, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Victoria Sulejowek vs Unia Skierniewice
0:0
Aug 12, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Unia Skierniewice vs Victoria Sulejowek
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Skierniewice Compare

Top Goalscorer Soltysinski S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sabillo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Victoria Sulejowek Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Skierniewice 53 / 100
Victoria Sulejowek 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Skierniewice Victoria Sulejowek

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Skierniewice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Unia Skierniewice & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Unia Skierniewice attacking → ← attacking Victoria Sulejowek

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unia Skierniewice scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Victoria Sulejowek let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Unia Skierniewice went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Victoria Sulejowek lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 39
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Unia Skierniewice34235681:3074
2Legia II34217675:3970
3LKS Lomza341810668:3864
4Warta Sieradz341671146:4255
5Suwalki341391246:3848
6Jagiellonia II341381354:4947
7Swit Mazowiecki341381347:5847
8GKS Belchatow3412101252:5246
9Bron Radom3412101240:4846
10Tomaszow Mazowiecki341371457:6446
11MKS Mlawa341281467:6244
12Plock II3411101354:5843
13GKS Wikielec3410121239:4542
14Stomil Olsztyn341191444:5642
15Victoria Sulejowek341181552:5941
16Lidzbark Warmimski349141146:6041
17Pelikan34961934:5833
18Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz34262626:7212