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Unia Swarzedz vs Blekitni Stargard

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Unia Swarzedz play Blekitni Stargard in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Unia Swarzedz averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Blekitni Stargard averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Unia Swarzedz won 3, Blekitni Stargard won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Unia Swarzedz and 0.94 for Blekitni Stargard. This points to a Unia Swarzedz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Unia Swarzedz
31%
Draws
30%
Blekitni Stargard
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Unia Swarzedz picked up more points recently compared to Blekitni Stargard.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 24%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Blekitni Stargard
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Blekitni Stargard
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Unia Swarzedz
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Blekitni Stargard
2:1
Aug 21, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Unia Swarzedz
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Blekitni Stargard
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 40 / 100
Blekitni Stargard 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Blekitni Stargard

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Unia Swarzedz or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Unia Swarzedz attacking → ← attacking Blekitni Stargard

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unia Swarzedz scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Blekitni Stargard let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Unia Swarzedz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Blekitni Stargard lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 40
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415