Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Unia Swarzedz vs Gwardia Koszalin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gross A.
42' Event
Molewski M.
(Penalty)
68'
Paczynski J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Unia Swarzedz and Gwardia Koszalin finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Unia Swarzedz
6%
Draws
4%
Gwardia Koszalin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Unia Swarzedz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Unia Swarzedz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 20%
Gwardia Koszalin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Gwardia Koszalin
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Gwardia Koszalin
1:1
Aug 22, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Gwardia Koszalin
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gwardia Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Gross A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 85 / 100
Gwardia Koszalin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Gwardia Koszalin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwardia Koszalin let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Unia Swarzedz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Gwardia Koszalin has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%