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Unia Swarzedz vs Kotwica Kornik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Dejewski T.
42' Event
Zaborniak D.
53' Event
Piotrowski J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Unia Swarzedz and Kotwica Kornik finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Swarzedz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Unia Swarzedz
15%
Draws
39%
Kotwica Kornik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Unia Swarzedz come out ahead of Kotwica Kornik on wins alone.
  • Unia Swarzedz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 11%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Kotwica Kornik
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Kotwica Kornik
7:0
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Kotwica Kornik vs Unia Swarzedz
1:2
May 16, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Unia Swarzedz
3:3
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Kotwica Kornik vs Unia Swarzedz
2:2
Oct 18, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Kotwica Kornik
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaborniak D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Piotrowski J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Kotwica Kornik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 83 / 100
Kotwica Kornik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Kotwica Kornik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kotwica Kornik let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Unia Swarzedz's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Unia Swarzedz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS Kotwica Kornik
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Swarzedz

(Home)
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 7

Kotwica Kornik

(Away)
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
05 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
2 : 4
Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)