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Unia Swarzedz vs KS Mieszko Gniezno

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Wolkiewicz K.
14' Event
Jurga I.
67' Event
Niedzwiedzki M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Unia Swarzedz and KS Mieszko Gniezno finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Swarzedz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Unia Swarzedz
6%
Draws
4%
KS Mieszko Gniezno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Unia Swarzedz come out ahead of KS Mieszko Gniezno on wins alone.
  • Unia Swarzedz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Unia Swarzedz have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 68%
KS Mieszko Gniezno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz KS Mieszko Gniezno
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 18 0
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Unia Swarzedz vs KS Mieszko Gniezno
5:2
Apr 17, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs KS Mieszko Gniezno
3:0
Nov 14, 2020 III Liga - Group II
KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Unia Swarzedz
0:7
Feb 23, 2020 Club Friendly
KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Unia Swarzedz
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Wolkiewicz K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jurga I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

KS Mieszko Gniezno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 95 / 100
KS Mieszko Gniezno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz KS Mieszko Gniezno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KS Mieszko Gniezno let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: Unia Swarzedz scored in 65% of their last 37 outings.

Recent resilience: Unia Swarzedz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS KS Mieszko Gniezno
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%