Sport Picks
Unia Swarzedz vs Lech Poznan II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
11'
11'
Zaborniak D.
42'
42'
Dziuba M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II game between Unia Swarzedz and Lech Poznan II finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lech Poznan II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Unia Swarzedz carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Unia Swarzedz a 33% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 10%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Unia Swarzedz | Lech Poznan II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 18 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Lech Poznan II
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Unia Swarzedz
2:0
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Lech Poznan II
1:4
Apr 26, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Lech Poznan II
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Unia Swarzedz
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Unia Swarzedz Compare
Top Goalscorer Zaborniak D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Lech Poznan II Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Unia Swarzedz 65 / 100
Lech Poznan II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Unia Swarzedz Lech Poznan II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lech Poznan II let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Unia Swarzedz scored in 78% of their last 32 games.
Unia Swarzedz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Unia Swarzedz VS Lech Poznan II
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Unia Swarzedz
(Home) 10 Oct
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 1 Unia Swarzedz
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3 Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3 Luzino
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1 Lech Poznan II
23 Aug
Unia Swarzedz
0 : 1 Wda Swiecie
14 Aug
Unia Swarzedz
0 : 3 Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 3
Lech Poznan II
(Away) 10 Oct
KKS Kalisz
2 : 4 Lech Poznan II
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1 Lech Poznan II
29 Aug
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4 Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
KKS Kalisz
2 : 4 Lech Poznan II
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1 Lech Poznan II
23 Aug
Gedania Gdansk
2 : 3 Lech Poznan II
15 Aug
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 2 Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
