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Unia Swarzedz vs Luzino Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gozdzik G.
62' Event
Pawlowski O.
63' Event
Sosnowski F.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Unia Swarzedz and Luzino finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luzino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Unia Swarzedz
15%
Draws
64%
Luzino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luzino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Unia Swarzedz haven't matched Luzino's recent run of results.
  • Luzino are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 10%
Luzino Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Luzino
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 20
Draws 4 2
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.76 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Luzino
1:3
Nov 28, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Unia Swarzedz
3:0
Aug 8, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Luzino
1:1
May 1, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Unia Swarzedz
1:2
Oct 7, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Luzino
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Gozdzik G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Luzino Compare

Top Goalscorer Pawlowski O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sosnowski F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 10 / 100
Luzino 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Luzino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unia Swarzedz's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Luzino has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Unia Swarzedz went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS Luzino
1 Goals Scored 2.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Swarzedz

(Home)
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
28 Aug
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 0
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 6

Luzino

(Away)
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
05 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 4
Luzino
02 Sept
Luzino
2 : 3
Wisla Plock
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzino 10 8 1 1 30:10 25
2 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 10 7 3 0 29:16 24
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Wda Swiecie 9 5 3 1 15:10 18
5 KKS Kalisz 10 4 5 1 16:10 17
6 Blekitni Stargard 10 4 3 3 22:19 15
7 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
8 Swinoujscie 10 4 2 4 15:17 14
9 Grom Nowy Staw 10 4 1 5 27:25 13
10 Notec Czarnkow 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
11 Baltyk Koszalin 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
12 Gedania Gdansk 10 2 4 4 23:24 10
13 Unia Swarzedz 10 3 1 6 13:19 10
14 Kotwica Kornik 10 3 1 6 18:25 10
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 10 1 6 3 16:21 9
16 Elana Torun 10 1 4 5 13:21 7
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 10 1 4 5 11:23 7
18 Lipno Steszew 10 1 2 7 11:22 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)