Sport Picks
Unia Tarnow vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 
Match Events
13'
13'
Mezyk D.
17'
17'
Bociek K.
86'
86'
Sowa B.
AI Match Summary
Unia Tarnow in this III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Unia Tarnow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski lately — more wins on the board than Unia Tarnow.
- Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Unia Tarnow Clean Sheet 10%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Unia Tarnow | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 22 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Unia Tarnow vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Unia Tarnow
2:1
Apr 6, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Unia Tarnow vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2:0
Sep 9, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Unia Tarnow
3:0
Jun 9, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Unia Tarnow
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Unia Tarnow Compare
Top Goalscorer Bociek K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sowa B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare
Top Goalscorer Mezyk D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Unia Tarnow 10 / 100
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Unia Tarnow Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick OST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Unia Tarnow scored in 48% of their last 27 games.
Unia Tarnow has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Unia Tarnow VS Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 Goals Scored 1.5
5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Unia Tarnow
(Home) 20 Jun
Unia Tarnow
0 : 5 Termalica Bruk-Bet
07 Jun
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3 : 0 Unia Tarnow
30 May
Unia Tarnow
1 : 2 Podhale Nowy Targ
25 May
Unia Tarnow
3 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
21 May
Korona Kielce II
4 : 2 Unia Tarnow
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Unia Tarnow
0 : 5 Termalica Bruk-Bet
30 May
Unia Tarnow
1 : 2 Podhale Nowy Targ
25 May
Unia Tarnow
3 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
16 May
Unia Tarnow
0 : 2 Sandecja Nowy S.
02 May
Unia Tarnow
2 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 3
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
(Away) 22 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
7 : 1 Bochnia
17 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
01 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
6 : 0 Star Starachowice
09 Jun
R. Rzeszow
3 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
09 Jun
R. Rzeszow
3 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
23 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
13 May
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
02 May
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandecja Nowy S. | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 65:31 | 74 |
| 2 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 67:43 | 68 |
| 3 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 76:42 | 65 |
| 4 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 55:40 | 63 |
| 5 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 77:44 | 62 |
| 6 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:50 | 61 |
| 7 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 61:46 | 55 |
| 8 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:42 | 53 |
| 9 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74:62 | 53 |
| 10 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 61:55 | 46 |
| 11 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 52:64 | 41 |
| 12 | Wisla II | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 72:60 | 41 |
| 13 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:54 | 39 |
| 14 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:60 | 39 |
| 15 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 50:68 | 37 |
| 16 | Wiazownica | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 38:70 | 30 |
| 17 | Lewart Lubartow | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 31:85 | 19 |
| 18 | Unia Tarnow | 34 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 28:106 | 10 |
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)