Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Unia Tarnow vs Sandomierz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Abate L.

AI Match Summary

Sandomierz in this III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sandomierz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Unia Tarnow
15%
Draws
49%
Sandomierz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sandomierz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sandomierz lately — more wins on the board than Unia Tarnow.
  • Unia Tarnow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Unia Tarnow Clean Sheet 10%
Sandomierz Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Tarnow Sandomierz
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 0.75 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.96 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Unia Tarnow vs Sandomierz
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Unia Tarnow
3:4
Jun 18, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Unia Tarnow vs Sandomierz
2:1
Nov 14, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Unia Tarnow
1:2
May 30, 2018 III Liga - Group IV
Unia Tarnow vs Sandomierz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Tarnow Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sandomierz Compare

Top Goalscorer Abate L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Tarnow 83 / 100
Sandomierz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Tarnow Sandomierz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Tarnow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sandomierz has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Sandomierz has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Unia Tarnow's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Tarnow VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Tarnow

(Home)
20 Jun
Unia Tarnow
0 : 5
Termalica Bruk-Bet
07 Jun
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3 : 0
Unia Tarnow
30 May
Unia Tarnow
1 : 2
Podhale Nowy Targ
25 May
Unia Tarnow
3 : 0
Chelmianka Chelm
21 May
Korona Kielce II
4 : 2
Unia Tarnow
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Sandomierz

(Away)
10 Feb
Lysica Bodzentyn
8 : 2
Sandomierz
17 Jun
Sandomierz
0 : 4
Avia Swidnik
10 Jun
Stal Stalowa Wola
7 : 0
Sandomierz
04 Jun
Sandomierz
5 : 3
Korona Kielce II
27 May
Orleta Radzyn
0 : 0
Sandomierz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stal Stalowa Wola 34 23 5 6 72:27 74
2 Avia Swidnik 34 19 11 4 58:26 68
3 KS Wieczysta Krakow 34 20 7 7 75:35 67
4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 34 17 7 10 61:36 58
5 Biala Podlaska 34 14 13 7 63:42 55
6 Cracovia II 34 16 6 12 69:48 54
7 Wisloka Debica 34 15 7 12 54:46 52
8 Sokol Sieniawa 34 14 6 14 57:65 48
9 Czarni Polaniec 34 15 2 17 47:58 47
10 Podhale Nowy Targ 34 13 6 15 59:47 45
11 Orleta Radzyn 34 13 4 17 44:63 43
12 Chelmianka Chelm 34 10 10 14 45:47 40
13 Unia Tarnow 34 10 10 14 43:66 40
14 Wiazownica 34 11 7 16 49:59 40
15 Korona Kielce II 34 10 9 15 63:58 39
16 Sandomierz 34 7 6 21 40:91 27
17 Lublinianka 34 7 2 25 43:92 23
18 LKS Lagow 34 11 4 19 27:63 37
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)