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Uniao ABC vs Costa Rica

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Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uniao ABC play Costa Rica in the Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022. Costa Rica are favorites here. Recently, Uniao ABC averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Costa Rica averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.98 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao ABC won 0, Costa Rica won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 13, 2022 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Uniao ABC and 0.88 for Costa Rica. This points to a Costa Rica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Uniao ABC
16%
Draws
59%
Costa Rica
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Costa Rica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao ABC picked up more points recently compared to Costa Rica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Uniao ABC Clean Sheet 25%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao ABC Costa Rica
Matches Played 29 46
Wins 7 19
Draws 3 14
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.98
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Uniao ABC
4:0
Feb 16, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Costa Rica
0:1
May 23, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Uniao ABC
2:0
May 7, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Costa Rica
0:3
Apr 3, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Uniao ABC
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao ABC 28 / 100
Costa Rica 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao ABC Costa Rica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa Rica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Costa Rica & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao ABC attacking → ← attacking Costa Rica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao ABC scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Costa Rica let in goals in 61% of their last 46 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Uniao ABC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Costa Rica lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 71
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Costa Rica870116:421
2Chapadao841310:913
3Operario MS833213:712
4Comercial MS82249:128
5Uniao ABC81073:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aquidauanense841312:813
2Dourados83416:413
3Naviraiense833211:712
4Coxim831411:1910
5Aguia Negra81348:106