Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A3

Uniao Barbarense

1 - 0

Itapirense

Our Tip

Match Events

90'

Daniel Cruz

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Uniao Barbarense and Itapirense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Barbarense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Uniao Barbarense

20%

Draws

38%

Itapirense

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uniao Barbarense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Uniao Barbarense carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Uniao Barbarense a 42% chance of winning this.
Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Uniao Barbarense Clean Sheet 20%

Itapirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uniao Barbarense	Itapirense
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	4
Draws	8	6
Losses	6	20
Goals Scored	1.5	0.88
Goals Conceded	1	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Paulista A3

Uniao Barbarense vs Itapirense

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

May 18, 2019 Paulista A4

Uniao Barbarense vs Itapirense

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

2:3

Apr 6, 2019 Paulista A4

Itapirense vs Uniao Barbarense

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Feb 15, 2014 Paulista A2

Itapirense vs Uniao Barbarense

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Barbarense Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Cruz

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Itapirense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Barbarense 42 / 100

Itapirense 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uniao Barbarense Itapirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itapirense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Uniao Barbarense found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Uniao Barbarense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Barbarense VS Itapirense

1.5 Goals Scored 0.88

1 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portuguesa Santista	15	12	0	3	26:9	36
2	Marilia	15	9	5	1	23:6	32
3	Rio Preto EC	15	8	5	2	24:13	29
4	XV de Jau	15	8	3	4	16:11	27
5	Rio Claro	15	7	4	4	19:16	25
6	Uniao Barbarense	15	6	6	3	16:14	24
7	EC Sao Bernardo	15	6	5	4	22:15	23
8	Paulista	15	6	5	4	20:13	23
9	Uniao Sao Joao	15	6	4	5	16:15	22
10	Catanduva FC	15	5	6	4	16:15	21
11	Bandeirante	15	4	6	5	15:19	18
12	Rio Branco SP	15	4	4	7	13:24	16
13	Francana	15	3	1	11	13:22	10
14	Itapirense	15	2	3	10	14:26	9
15	Desportivo	15	1	5	9	8:25	8
16	Uniao Suzano	15	1	2	12	10:28	5