Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uniao Barbarense vs Paulista

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Camilo
(Penalty)
73' Event
Daniel Cruz

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Uniao Barbarense
22%
Draws
60%
Paulista
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Paulista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao Barbarense have won more games recently than Paulista.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Paulista taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Uniao Barbarense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Uniao Barbarense Clean Sheet 17%
Paulista Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Barbarense Paulista
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Paulista A3
Uniao Barbarense vs Paulista
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Paulista A4
Uniao Barbarense vs Paulista
1:0
Apr 23, 2025 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Uniao Barbarense
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Uniao Barbarense
1:3
Jun 24, 2023 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Uniao Barbarense
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Barbarense Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Cruz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Paulista Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Barbarense 20 / 100
Paulista 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Barbarense Paulista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Barbarense found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Paulista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Uniao Barbarense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Barbarense VS Paulista
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Barbarense

(Home)
04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
28 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 3
Rio Preto EC
21 Mar
Portuguesa Santista
3 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0
Itapirense
11 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 1
Paulista
Page 1 of 6

Paulista

(Away)
18 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0
Primavera EC
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Paulista
28 Mar
Paulista
2 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
21 Mar
Catanduva FC
1 : 3
Paulista
14 Mar
Paulista
3 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)