Sport Picks
Uniao Barbarense vs Paulista Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Paulista A3 
Match Events
51'
51'
Camilo
(Penalty)
73'
73'
Daniel Cruz
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paulista
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Uniao Barbarense have won more games recently than Paulista.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Uniao Barbarense taking it.
- Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Uniao Barbarense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Uniao Barbarense Clean Sheet 17%
Paulista Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uniao Barbarense | Paulista |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2026 Paulista A3
Uniao Barbarense vs Paulista
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Paulista A4
Uniao Barbarense vs Paulista
1:0
Apr 23, 2025 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Uniao Barbarense
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Uniao Barbarense
1:3
Jun 24, 2023 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Uniao Barbarense
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uniao Barbarense Compare
Top Goalscorer Daniel Cruz
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Paulista Compare
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uniao Barbarense 41 / 100
Paulista 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uniao Barbarense Paulista
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uniao Barbarense found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Paulista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Uniao Barbarense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Uniao Barbarense VS Paulista
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Uniao Barbarense
(Home) 04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0 Uniao Barbarense
28 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 3 Rio Preto EC
21 Mar
Portuguesa Santista
3 : 0 Uniao Barbarense
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0 Itapirense
11 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 1 Paulista
Page 1 of 6
28 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 3 Rio Preto EC
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0 Itapirense
11 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 1 Paulista
04 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
3 : 0 Uniao Suzano
21 Feb
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 1 XV de Jau
Page 1 of 3
Paulista
(Away) 07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3 Gremio Prudente
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0 Paulista
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2 Paulista
15 Aug
Paulista
1 : 0 Juventus-SP
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1 Paulista
Page 1 of 7
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0 Paulista
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2 Paulista
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1 Paulista
26 Jul
Juventus-SP
3 : 1 Paulista
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Paulista
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa Santista | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 36 |
| 2 | Marilia | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23:6 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Preto EC | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24:13 | 29 |
| 4 | XV de Jau | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 16:11 | 27 |
| 5 | Rio Claro | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Uniao Barbarense | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16:14 | 24 |
| 7 | EC Sao Bernardo | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:15 | 23 |
| 8 | Paulista | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 23 |
| 9 | Uniao Sao Joao | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 22 |
| 10 | Catanduva FC | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 11 | Bandeirante | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Rio Branco SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Francana | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Itapirense | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14:26 | 9 |
| 15 | Desportivo | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Uniao Suzano | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10:28 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)
