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Uniao Carmolandense U20 vs Paraiso EC U20

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Tocantinense U20 2025
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Uniao Carmolandense U20 host Paraiso EC U20 in the Tocantinense U20 2025. Uniao Carmolandense U20 go into this one as the clear favorite. Uniao Carmolandense U20 have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Paraiso EC U20's 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Uniao Carmolandense U20 slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.58 vs 1.10, favoring Uniao Carmolandense U20. Uniao Carmolandense U20 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Uniao Carmolandense U20
6%
Draws
4%
Paraiso EC U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Uniao Carmolandense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao Carmolandense U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Paraiso EC U20.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Uniao Carmolandense U20.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tocantinense U20 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Uniao Carmolandense U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Paraiso EC U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Carmolandense U20 Paraiso EC U20
Matches Played 35 9
Wins 21 2
Draws 8 0
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Tocantinense U20
Uniao Carmolandense U20 vs Paraiso EC U20
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Carmolandense U20 85 / 100
Paraiso EC U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Carmolandense U20 Paraiso EC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Carmolandense U20 scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Paraiso EC U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Uniao Carmolandense U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Paraiso EC U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Carmolandense U20 VS Paraiso EC U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmas U20430114:49
2Araguaia (TO) U20430114:69
3Gurupi U2042028:96
4Uniao de Palmas U2042026:96
5Alvorada U2040042:160
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Batalhao U20430111:59
2Capital FC U20421117:77
3Interporto U20421110:77
4Taquarussu U20420210:96
5Central Tocantinense U2040042:220
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araguaina U20440010:212
2SD Sparta U20421110:67
3Guarai SC U2041127:64
4Tocantins U2031026:73
5Araguacema U2030030:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tocantinopolis U2043018:29
2Uniao Carmolandense U2042206:48
3Bela Vista U2042119:57
4Paraiso EC U2041036:83
5Arsenal EC U2040132:121