Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uniao Carmolandense U20 vs SD Sparta U20

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uniao Carmolandense U20 play SD Sparta U20 in the Tocantinense U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uniao Carmolandense U20 averaged 2.09 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. SD Sparta U20 averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao Carmolandense U20 won 2, SD Sparta U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 1, 2025 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Uniao Carmolandense U20 and 0.94 for SD Sparta U20. This points to a Uniao Carmolandense U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Uniao Carmolandense U20
23%
Draws
22%
SD Sparta U20
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Uniao Carmolandense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao Carmolandense U20 picked up more points recently compared to SD Sparta U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Uniao Carmolandense U20 Clean Sheet 24%
SD Sparta U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Carmolandense U20 SD Sparta U20
Matches Played 33 22
Wins 20 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.09 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Tocantinense U20
Uniao Carmolandense U20 vs SD Sparta U20
5:0
May 25, 2025 Tocantinense U20
SD Sparta U20 vs Uniao Carmolandense U20
1:3
Apr 28, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Uniao Carmolandense U20 vs SD Sparta U20
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Carmolandense U20 54 / 100
SD Sparta U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Carmolandense U20 SD Sparta U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Carmolandense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Uniao Carmolandense U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao Carmolandense U20 attacking → ← attacking SD Sparta U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Carmolandense U20 scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

SD Sparta U20 let in goals in 82% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Uniao Carmolandense U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SD Sparta U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 21
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Capital FC U20541028:213
2Batalhao U20541021:313
3Interporto U20530223:79
4Gurupi U20520321:96
5Sao Jose U2050143:291
6Alvorada U2050142:481
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Araguacema U20541012:513
2Guarai SC U2053209:311
3Uniao EC U20530211:69
4Tocantins U2052126:77
5Paraiso EC U2051048:103
6Central Tocantinense U2050052:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uniao Carmolandense U20523011:59
2Tocantinopolis U2052306:49
3SD Sparta U2052219:48
4Araguaina U2052039:76
5Bela Vista U2051224:55
6Arsenal EC U2050231:152