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Uniao Central vs Barcelona EC

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Sun, Aug 3, 2025
3 - 0
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uniao Central host Barcelona EC in the Carioca C 2025. This has Uniao Central written all over it on paper. Uniao Central have averaged 1.81 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Barcelona EC's 0.48 scored and 2.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Uniao Central have won 2 to Barcelona EC's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 5:2. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.25) point toward Uniao Central. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Uniao Central
15%
Draws
40%
Barcelona EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Barcelona EC haven't matched Uniao Central's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Uniao Central a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca C 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Uniao Central Clean Sheet 19%
Barcelona EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Central Barcelona EC
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 1
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.81 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Carioca C
Uniao Central vs Barcelona EC
5:2
Aug 3, 2025 Carioca C
Uniao Central vs Barcelona EC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Central 76 / 100
Barcelona EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Central Barcelona EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Central Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Uniao Central's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Barcelona EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 19 matches.

Solid form: Uniao Central remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Central VS Barcelona EC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Central

(Home)
12 Jul
Uniao Central
3 : 1
Caac Brazil
06 Jul
Caac Brazil
2 : 2
Uniao Central
03 Jul
Uniao Central
1 : 0
Campos AA
28 Jun
Tigres Brasil
4 : 0
Uniao Central
07 Jun
Uniao Central
3 : 2
EC Vera Cruz
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Barcelona EC

(Away)
12 Jul
Itaborai Profute
:
Barcelona EC
06 Jul
Barcelona EC
:
Itaborai Profute
03 Jul
Caac Brazil
0 : 2
Barcelona EC
28 Jun
Barcelona EC
0 : 7
Buzios
08 Jun
Uni Souza
2 : 0
Barcelona EC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraty 12 9 1 2 33:11 28
2 Santa Cruz RJ 12 8 3 1 39:14 27
3 Riostrense 12 8 2 2 29:11 26
4 Uniao Central 12 7 3 2 34:18 24
5 Juventus RJ 12 7 3 2 24:9 24
6 EC Vera Cruz 12 6 2 4 18:11 20
7 Angra dos Reis 12 6 1 5 24:21 19
8 Rio Barra 11 4 0 7 12:24 12
9 Buzios 12 4 0 8 16:33 12
10 Duque Caxiense 12 3 1 8 15:19 10
11 Caac Brazil 12 3 0 9 10:35 9
12 Mesquita 12 2 1 9 8:28 7
13 Barcelona EC 11 1 1 9 5:33 4
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)