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Uniao Central vs Paraty Prediction & H2H Stats

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Carioca C 2025
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Match Events

22' Event
Machado A.
60' Event
Machado A.
72' Event
Santanna M.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C 2025 game between Uniao Central and Paraty finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Uniao Central
15%
Draws
0%
Paraty
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uniao Central come out ahead of Paraty on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Uniao Central's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Uniao Central Clean Sheet 18%
Paraty Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Central Paraty
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.84 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2025 Carioca C
Paraty vs Uniao Central
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Carioca C
Uniao Central vs Paraty
2:2
Jul 23, 2025 Carioca C
Uniao Central vs Paraty
0:4
Jul 1, 2024 Carioca C
Uniao Central vs Paraty
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Central Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Paraty Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Santanna M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Central 76 / 100
Paraty 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Central Paraty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Central Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraty's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Uniao Central scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Paraty let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Central VS Paraty
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Central

(Home)
12 Jul
Uniao Central
3 : 1
Caac Brazil
06 Jul
Caac Brazil
2 : 2
Uniao Central
03 Jul
Uniao Central
1 : 0
Campos AA
28 Jun
Tigres Brasil
4 : 0
Uniao Central
07 Jun
Uniao Central
3 : 2
EC Vera Cruz
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Paraty

(Away)
01 Oct
Buzios
3 : 2
Paraty
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
06 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 1
Paraty
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraty 12 9 1 2 33:11 28
2 Santa Cruz RJ 12 8 3 1 39:14 27
3 Riostrense 12 8 2 2 29:11 26
4 Uniao Central 12 7 3 2 34:18 24
5 Juventus RJ 12 7 3 2 24:9 24
6 EC Vera Cruz 12 6 2 4 18:11 20
7 Angra dos Reis 12 6 1 5 24:21 19
8 Rio Barra 11 4 0 7 12:24 12
9 Buzios 12 4 0 8 16:33 12
10 Duque Caxiense 12 3 1 8 15:19 10
11 Caac Brazil 12 3 0 9 10:35 9
12 Mesquita 12 2 1 9 8:28 7
13 Barcelona EC 11 1 1 9 5:33 4
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)