Sport Picks
Uniao Da Serra vs Mortagua FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Campo da Portela, Santa Catarina da Serra 
Match Events
70'
70'
Ferrao J.
90'
90'
Justino G. T. F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uniao Da Serra
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mortagua FC lately — more wins on the board than Uniao Da Serra.
- Win probability leans Uniao Da Serra's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 68%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uniao Da Serra | Mortagua FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs Mortagua FC
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs Uniao Da Serra
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs Mortagua FC
0:0
Feb 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs Uniao Da Serra
3:3
Oct 23, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs Mortagua FC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uniao Da Serra Compare
Top Goalscorer Justino G. T. F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Mortagua FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferrao J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uniao Da Serra 68 / 100
Mortagua FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uniao Da Serra Mortagua FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Uniao Da Serra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Uniao Da Serra stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Uniao Da Serra scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Mortagua FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Uniao Da Serra VS Mortagua FC
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Uniao Da Serra
(Home) 20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4 Uniao Da Serra
13 Sept
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1 Mortagua FC
06 Sept
Nogueirense
1 : 1 Uniao Da Serra
30 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
5 : 0 Uniao de Pombal
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1 Alverca B
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1 Mortagua FC
30 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
5 : 0 Uniao de Pombal
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1 Alverca B
12 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
3 : 1 GD Peniche
22 Mar
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 0 Marinhense
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Mortagua FC
(Away) 20 Sept
Mortagua FC
0 : 2 Leca
13 Sept
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1 Mortagua FC
06 Sept
Mortagua FC
2 : 1 Fazendense
30 Aug
Covilha
0 : 1 Mortagua FC
23 Aug
Sertanense
1 : 3 Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1 Mortagua FC
30 Aug
Covilha
0 : 1 Mortagua FC
23 Aug
Sertanense
1 : 3 Mortagua FC
12 Apr
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0 Mortagua FC
22 Mar
Naval 1893
2 : 0 Mortagua FC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mortagua FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 2 | O Elvas CAD | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveira Hospital | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Os Marialvas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Naval 1893 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 7 | Nogueirense | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 8 | SB Castelo Branco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 9 | Fatima | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 10 | Malveira | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 11 | Alverca B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 13 | Fazendense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | 1 |
| 14 | GD Os Nazarenos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)
