Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Uniao Da Serra

2 - 0

Naval 1893

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Matos P.

Own Goal

90'

Marques D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uniao Da Serra in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Da Serra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Uniao Da Serra

28%

Draws

50%

Naval 1893

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Naval 1893

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Naval 1893 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Uniao Da Serra.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Naval 1893.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group C provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 26%

Naval 1893 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uniao Da Serra	Naval 1893
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	13	15
Draws	8	6
Losses	8	7
Goals Scored	1.25	1
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Uniao Da Serra vs Naval 1893

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Naval 1893 vs Uniao Da Serra

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Da Serra Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Naval 1893 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Da Serra 25 / 100

Naval 1893 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uniao Da Serra Naval 1893

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAV Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Da Serra scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Naval 1893 let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Uniao Da Serra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Naval 1893 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Da Serra VS Naval 1893

1.25 Goals Scored 1

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 63%

13% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vitoria Sernache	26	16	7	3	33:12	55
2	Oliveira Hospital	26	14	8	4	39:13	50
3	Naval 1893	26	14	6	6	36:23	48
4	SB Castelo Branco	26	14	4	8	43:26	46
5	Uniao Da Serra	26	12	8	6	38:27	44
6	Mortagua FC	26	11	6	9	23:26	39
7	Os Marialvas	26	10	6	10	33:28	36
8	Fatima	26	8	8	10	27:29	32
9	Lajense	26	8	8	10	37:37	32
10	GD Peniche	26	8	6	12	34:43	30
11	Samora Correia	26	8	5	13	27:35	29
12	Marinhense	26	5	9	12	20:38	24
13	Electrico FC	26	5	4	17	33:62	19
14	SC Lusitania	26	4	5	17	24:48	17