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Uniao de Coimbra vs Arronches Benfica

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Soto J. A.
90' Event
Lopes P.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between Uniao de Coimbra and Arronches Benfica finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arronches Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Uniao de Coimbra
30%
Draws
34%
Arronches Benfica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uniao de Coimbra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arronches Benfica come out ahead of Uniao de Coimbra on wins alone.
  • Model gives Uniao de Coimbra a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Uniao de Coimbra Clean Sheet 16%
Arronches Benfica Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao de Coimbra Arronches Benfica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao de Coimbra vs Arronches Benfica
0:2
Nov 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Arronches Benfica vs Uniao de Coimbra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao de Coimbra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Arronches Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Soto J. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopes P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao de Coimbra 36 / 100
Arronches Benfica 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao de Coimbra Arronches Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao de Coimbra found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Uniao de Coimbra stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Arronches Benfica has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uniao de Coimbra VS Arronches Benfica
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao de Coimbra

(Home)
13 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2
Uniao de Coimbra
06 Apr
Uniao de Coimbra
0 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
29 Mar
Alcains
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
16 Mar
Uniao de Coimbra
1 : 1
Os Marialvas
09 Mar
Mortagua FC
2 : 2
Uniao de Coimbra
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Arronches Benfica

(Away)
13 Apr
Arronches Benfica
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
06 Apr
Fatima
1 : 0
Arronches Benfica
29 Mar
Arronches Benfica
2 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
16 Mar
Alverca B
2 : 0
Arronches Benfica
09 Mar
Arronches Benfica
1 : 0
Sertanense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1O Elvas CAD26205141:1065
2Fatima26147530:1249
3Arronches Benfica26139427:1748
4GD Peniche26109731:2339
5Os Marialvas26910730:2837
6Mortagua FC26813523:2137
7Marinhense2699824:2136
8Alverca B2698928:2535
9SB Castelo Branco26810823:2134
10SC Pombal26881029:3432
11Uniao de Coimbra26671326:4425
12Sertanense26491323:3321
13Alcains26461617:3618
14Pero Pinheiro26261812:3912
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)