Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uniao de Coimbra vs Mortagua FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Anoumou F.

AI Match Summary

Mortagua FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mortagua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Uniao de Coimbra
33%
Draws
27%
Mortagua FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Uniao de Coimbra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mortagua FC lately — more wins on the board than Uniao de Coimbra.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Uniao de Coimbra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Uniao de Coimbra Clean Sheet 68%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao de Coimbra Mortagua FC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs Uniao de Coimbra
2:2
Nov 10, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao de Coimbra vs Mortagua FC
0:1
Apr 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs Uniao de Coimbra
0:1
Nov 26, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao de Coimbra vs Mortagua FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao de Coimbra Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Mortagua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Anoumou F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao de Coimbra 50 / 100
Mortagua FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao de Coimbra Mortagua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao de Coimbra found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Mortagua FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Uniao de Coimbra has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mortagua FC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao de Coimbra

(Home)
13 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2
Uniao de Coimbra
06 Apr
Uniao de Coimbra
0 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
29 Mar
Alcains
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
16 Mar
Uniao de Coimbra
1 : 1
Os Marialvas
09 Mar
Mortagua FC
2 : 2
Uniao de Coimbra
Page 1 of 6

Mortagua FC

(Away)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Mortagua FC
04 Apr
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Os Marialvas
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Naval 1893
2 : 0
Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1O Elvas CAD26205141:1065
2Fatima26147530:1249
3Arronches Benfica26139427:1748
4GD Peniche26109731:2339
5Os Marialvas26910730:2837
6Mortagua FC26813523:2137
7Marinhense2699824:2136
8Alverca B2698928:2535
9SB Castelo Branco26810823:2134
10SC Pombal26881029:3432
11Uniao de Coimbra26671326:4425
12Sertanense26491323:3321
13Alcains26461617:3618
14Pero Pinheiro26261812:3912
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)