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Uniao EC vs Araguaia

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2016
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AI Match Summary

Uniao EC in this Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Uniao EC
6%
Draws
4%
Araguaia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Uniao EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uniao EC lately — more wins on the board than Araguaia.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Uniao EC taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Uniao EC here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Uniao EC Clean Sheet 20%
Araguaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao EC Araguaia
Matches Played 26 34
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2017 Matogrossense
Uniao EC vs Araguaia
2:1
Feb 5, 2017 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Uniao EC
0:1
Mar 6, 2016 Matogrossense
Uniao EC vs Araguaia
2:0
Feb 9, 2016 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Uniao EC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao EC 85 / 100
Araguaia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao EC Araguaia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Araguaia conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Uniao EC scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Uniao EC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Araguaia
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luverdense1053220:918
2Sinop FC1053213:418
3Várzea Grande EC1043313:1715
4Cacerense1034315:1713
5Mixto1024416:2110
6Pocone1021712:217
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cuiaba852119:117
2Dom Bosco842213:914
3Araguaia84229:814
4Uniao EC82338:99
5Operario VG80173:251
6Rondonopolis EC00000:00