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Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol vs Santa Cruz RS

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Everton Heleno
19' Event
Ricardo Liell
23' Event
Marquinhos

AI Match Summary

Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol play Santa Cruz RS in the Gaucho 2 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol averaged 0.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Santa Cruz RS averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol won 1, Santa Cruz RS won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 15, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.53 for Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol and 1.21 for Santa Cruz RS. This points to a Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
22%
Draws
60%
Santa Cruz RS
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Santa Cruz RS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Santa Cruz RS.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Santa Cruz RS.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Gaucho 2 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol Santa Cruz RS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 13 13
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.17 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 Gaucho 2
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol vs Santa Cruz RS
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Heleno
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ricardo Liell
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.13
Avg xA / game 0.09

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquinhos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 20 / 100
Santa Cruz RS 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol Santa Cruz RS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Santa Cruz RS let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Santa Cruz RS lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol VS Santa Cruz RS
0.17 Goals Scored 1.25
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.88
33% Over 1.5 75%
17% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aimore1494116:531
2Inter Santa Maria1485116:729
3Passo Fundo1476120:1227
4Novo Hamburgo1473417:824
5Gramadense1466213:924
6Veranopolis1465317:923
7GE Bage145639:521
8Lajeadense1456313:1421
9Santa Cruz RS1446412:1118
10Brasil de Farroupilha1443715:2015
11GE Gloria142758:1313
12Esportivo Bento Goncalves1432912:2111
13Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol141766:1610
14SC Gaucho1423915:209
15Real SC1403114:233
16Futvida00000:00