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Uniao Lamas vs Guarda FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
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Match Events

33' Event
Cunha T.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B game between Uniao Lamas and Guarda FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Lamas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Uniao Lamas
30%
Draws
31%
Guarda FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uniao Lamas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Guarda FC haven't matched Uniao Lamas's recent run of results.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Uniao Lamas have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Uniao Lamas Clean Sheet 19%
Guarda FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Lamas Guarda FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Uniao Lamas vs Guarda FC
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Uniao Lamas vs Guarda FC
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Guarda FC vs Uniao Lamas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Lamas Compare

Top Goalscorer Cunha T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Guarda FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Lamas 36 / 100
Guarda FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Lamas Guarda FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarda FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Lamas's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Guarda FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Uniao Lamas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Guarda FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Lamas VS Guarda FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.29
38% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Lamas

(Home)
13 Sept
Sousense
3 : 3
Uniao Lamas
06 Sept
Uniao Lamas
1 : 0
Guarda FC
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
UD Ovarense
1 : 0
Uniao Lamas
16 Aug
Uniao Lamas
1 : 1
Florgrade
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Guarda FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Guarda FC
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Uniao Lamas
1 : 0
Guarda FC
30 Aug
Ac. Fundao
0 : 6
Guarda FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Machico 5 3 2 0 9:2 11
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Sanjoanense 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
5 Castro Daire 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
6 Florgrade 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
7 SC Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 Cinfaes 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
9 Uniao Lamas 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Beira Mar 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
11 FC Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
12 Estrela Calheta 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
13 Guarda FC 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)