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Uniao Luziense vs URT

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uniao Luziense play URT in the Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uniao Luziense averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. URT averaged 1.11 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao Luziense won 0, URT won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 8, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.53 for Uniao Luziense and 0.90 for URT. This points to a URT double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Uniao Luziense
34%
Draws
45%
URT
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: URT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Uniao Luziense picked up more points recently compared to URT.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.53 vs 0.90 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Uniao Luziense Clean Sheet 25%
URT Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Luziense URT
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 5 16
Draws 11 13
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.78 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2023 Mineiro 2
Uniao Luziense vs URT
0:1
Apr 30, 2008 Mineiro 2
URT vs Uniao Luziense
1:1
Mar 16, 2008 Mineiro 2
Uniao Luziense vs URT
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Luziense 24 / 100
URT 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Luziense URT

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: URT or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao Luziense attacking → ← attacking URT

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Luziense scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

URT let in goals in 53% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Uniao Luziense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

URT lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 61
0.67 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.17 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America Mineiro20125333:1441
2Uberlandia20106425:1236
3Caldense20112729:2035
4EC Itauna2087521:1531
5Araxa2069521:2127
6Pocos de Caldas20411522:2423
7URT20411528:2923
8Ideal FC20641021:2922
9Formiga EC20641017:2622
10Valeriodoce2048818:2120
11Uniao Luziense20431321:4515