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Uniao Mogi vs Atletico Mogi

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2019 game between Uniao Mogi and Atletico Mogi finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Mogi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Uniao Mogi
6%
Draws
4%
Atletico Mogi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Uniao Mogi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uniao Mogi come out ahead of Atletico Mogi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Uniao Mogi a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico Mogi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Mogi Atletico Mogi
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 Paulista B
Atletico Mogi vs Uniao Mogi
2:1
Apr 27, 2024 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Atletico Mogi
1:1
Jun 3, 2023 Paulista A4
Uniao Mogi vs Atletico Mogi
1:2
Apr 29, 2023 Paulista A4
Atletico Mogi vs Uniao Mogi
0:1
Jun 5, 2022 Paulista A4
Uniao Mogi vs Atletico Mogi
8:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Mogi 84 / 100
Atletico Mogi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Mogi Atletico Mogi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Mogi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Uniao Mogi found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Uniao Mogi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Mogi VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
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3Jose Bonifacio EC1252512:1517
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5Osvaldo Cruz1243512:1115
6Bandeirante123279:1711
7America SP122287:158
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Francana1273229:1324
2Catanduva FC1255219:1320
3Matonense1253420:1418
4Catanduvense1252514:1417
5Inter de Bebedouro1245317:1417
6Taquaritinga1243517:1915
7Sao-Carlense1211107:364
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rio Branco SP1273215:824
2XV de Jau1273222:924
3Itapirense1263317:1321
4Independente SP1261521:1119
5Uniao Barbarense1242618:2314
6Jaguariuna1223714:239
7Brasilis121385:256
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marilia1063121:721
2AA Itarare1054116:319
3Assisense1044211:616
4Vocem103439:713
5Santacruzense1025314:1411
6Elosport1000103:370
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paulista1292131:1029
2Sao Jose EC1265122:1323
3Amparo SP1256131:1421
4Jacarei FC1245322:1417
5Uniao Mogi1242618:2314
6Manthiqueira122377:209
7Atletico Mogi1201118:451
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SP1272320:1223
2Uniao Suzano1264220:1622
3Guarulhos1263315:821
4Mauaense1255216:820
5Maua FC1244410:1316
6Barcelona SP1224611:1810
7Jabaquara1202108:252