Sport Picks

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Uniao Mogi vs Barcelona SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Aquino P.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Kenzo R.

AI Match Summary

Uniao Mogi in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Mogi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Uniao Mogi
15%
Draws
0%
Barcelona SP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Mogi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Barcelona SP haven't matched Uniao Mogi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Uniao Mogi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 20%
Barcelona SP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Mogi Barcelona SP
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.23 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Paulista B
Barcelona SP vs Uniao Mogi
2:3
Apr 19, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Barcelona SP
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Mogi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenzo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Barcelona SP Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Mogi 85 / 100
Barcelona SP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Mogi Barcelona SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Mogi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Barcelona SP conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Barcelona SP lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Uniao Mogi scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Mogi VS Barcelona SP
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Mogi

(Home)
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0
Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4
Itaqua
04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3
Uniao Mogi
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3
Maua FC
20 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 1
Itaqua
Page 1 of 6

Barcelona SP

(Away)
20 Jun
Maua FC
6 : 0
Barcelona SP
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2
Mauaense
31 May
Itaqua
1 : 0
Barcelona SP
23 May
Barcelona SP
2 : 3
Uniao Mogi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)