Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2021

Flamengo SP

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uniao Mogi play Flamengo SP in the Paulista A4 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uniao Mogi averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Flamengo SP averaged 1.41 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao Mogi won 0, Flamengo SP won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 27, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Uniao Mogi and 1.25 for Flamengo SP. This points to a Flamengo SP double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

Uniao Mogi

34%

Draws

41%

Flamengo SP

Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Flamengo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Uniao Mogi picked up more points recently compared to Flamengo SP.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 19%

Flamengo SP Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uniao Mogi	Flamengo SP
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	14
Draws	8	10
Losses	13	5
Goals Scored	1.28	1.41
Goals Conceded	1.45	0.9
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Paulista A4

Flamengo SP vs Uniao Mogi

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Apr 22, 2023 Paulista A4

Uniao Mogi vs Flamengo SP

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

May 28, 2022 Paulista A4

Flamengo SP vs Uniao Mogi

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Apr 24, 2022 Paulista A4

Uniao Mogi vs Flamengo SP

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Oct 2, 2021 Paulista A4

Flamengo SP vs Uniao Mogi

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Mogi 26 / 100

Flamengo SP 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uniao Mogi Flamengo SP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Flamengo SP or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +47%

5.88

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao Mogi attacking → ← attacking Flamengo SP

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Mogi scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Flamengo SP let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Uniao Mogi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Flamengo SP lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 52

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63