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Uniao Mogi vs Manthiqueira Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Joao

AI Match Summary

The Paulista B game between Uniao Mogi and Manthiqueira finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Mogi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Uniao Mogi
15%
Draws
42%
Manthiqueira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Mogi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Manthiqueira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 14%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Mogi Manthiqueira
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.23 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Manthiqueira
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Uniao Mogi
2:2
May 31, 2025 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Manthiqueira
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Uniao Mogi
1:0
Jun 15, 2024 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Manthiqueira
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Mogi Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Manthiqueira Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Mogi 30 / 100
Manthiqueira 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Mogi Manthiqueira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Mogi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manthiqueira let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Uniao Mogi's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Manthiqueira lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Mogi VS Manthiqueira
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Mogi

(Home)
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0
Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4
Itaqua
04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3
Uniao Mogi
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3
Maua FC
20 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 1
Itaqua
Page 1 of 6

Manthiqueira

(Away)
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)