Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Anderson
AI Match Summary
Mauaense in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mauaense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Mogi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Uniao Mogi have won more games recently than Mauaense.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 68%
Mauaense Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uniao Mogi | Mauaense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 13, 2026 Paulista B
Mauaense vs Uniao Mogi
0:1
May 10, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Mauaense
0:1
May 24, 2025 Paulista B
Mauaense vs Uniao Mogi
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Mauaense
1:1
May 25, 2024 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Mauaense
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uniao Mogi Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Mauaense Compare
Top Goalscorer Anderson
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uniao Mogi 41 / 100
Mauaense 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uniao Mogi Mauaense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Uniao Mogi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uniao Mogi scored in 74% of their last 35 games.
Defensive concern: Mauaense conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Mauaense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Uniao Mogi VS Mauaense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Uniao Mogi
(Home) 18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0 Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4 Itaqua
04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3 Uniao Mogi
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3 Maua FC
20 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 1 Itaqua
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11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4 Itaqua
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3 Maua FC
20 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 1 Itaqua
31 May
Uniao Mogi
1 : 0 Manthiqueira
10 May
Uniao Mogi
0 : 1 Mauaense
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Mauaense
(Away) 20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
13 Jun
Mauaense
0 : 1 Uniao Mogi
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2 Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1 Mauaense
23 May
Mauaense
1 : 2 Itaqua
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20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2 Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1 Mauaense
10 May
Uniao Mogi
0 : 1 Mauaense
19 Apr
Itaqua
1 : 0 Mauaense
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
