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Uniao Montemor vs Almodovar

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 game between Uniao Montemor and Almodovar finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Uniao Montemor
40%
Draws
29%
Almodovar
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Almodovar haven't matched Uniao Montemor's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Uniao Montemor here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Uniao Montemor Clean Sheet 17%
Almodovar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Montemor Almodovar
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Uniao Montemor vs Almodovar
3:3
Mar 9, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs Uniao Montemor
0:1
Jan 19, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Uniao Montemor vs Almodovar
5:1
Nov 3, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs Uniao Montemor
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Montemor 31 / 100
Almodovar 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Montemor Almodovar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almodovar let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Uniao Montemor's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Away concern: Almodovar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Montemor VS Almodovar
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moura AC1484226:1144
2Louletano1475222:1237
3Uniao Montemor1467121:1437
4CDR Quarteirense1465325:1635
5Cova De Piedade1453623:2531
6FC Barreirense1446416:1728
7Esperanca de Lagos1423910:2815
8Almodovar14031110:3010