Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group F

Louletano

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uniao Montemor play Louletano in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group F. Louletano are favorites here. Recently, Uniao Montemor averaged 0.66 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Louletano averaged 1.72 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao Montemor won 2, Louletano won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 6, 2022 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Uniao Montemor and 1.24 for Louletano. This points to a Louletano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Uniao Montemor

18%

Draws

66%

Louletano

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Uniao Montemor picked up more points recently compared to Louletano.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Uniao Montemor Clean Sheet 19%

Louletano Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uniao Montemor	Louletano
Matches Played	29	43
Wins	3	23
Draws	5	14
Losses	21	6
Goals Scored	0.66	1.72
Goals Conceded	1.97	0.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F

Uniao Montemor vs Louletano

Possession: 55% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

1:4

Dec 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F

Louletano vs Uniao Montemor

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 0 - 2

5:1

Apr 13, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H

Louletano vs Uniao Montemor

Possession: 58% - 60% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Feb 23, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H

Uniao Montemor vs Louletano

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

Nov 24, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H

Louletano vs Uniao Montemor

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Montemor 18 / 100

Louletano 63 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uniao Montemor Louletano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louletano Win (2)

Secondary Pick Louletano & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +100%

12.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao Montemor attacking → ← attacking Louletano

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Montemor scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Louletano let in goals in 56% of their last 43 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Uniao Montemor went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Louletano lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 83

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olhanense	16	10	6	0	32:15	36
2	Moncarapachense	16	9	6	1	31:12	33
3	Louletano	16	9	5	2	37:15	32
4	Juv. Evora	16	6	6	4	26:12	24
5	Esperanca de Lagos	16	5	4	7	20:25	19
6	Serpa	16	4	4	8	18:32	16
7	Imortal	16	2	6	8	9:26	12
8	Uniao Montemor	16	3	3	10	12:28	12
9	FC Barreirense	16	1	6	9	10:30	9
10	Pinhalnovense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0