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Uniao Paraense vs Independente

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A2 game between Uniao Paraense and Independente finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Uniao Paraense
35%
Draws
52%
Independente
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Independente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Independente carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Independente a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paraense A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Uniao Paraense Clean Sheet 27%
Independente Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Paraense Independente
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 1 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Paraense A2
Independente vs Uniao Paraense
3:0
May 9, 2026 Paraense A2
Uniao Paraense vs Independente
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Paraense 14 / 100
Independente 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Paraense Independente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independente's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Uniao Paraense found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (16 games).

Uniao Paraense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Paraense VS Independente
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Paraense

(Home)
30 May
Independente
3 : 0
Uniao Paraense
23 May
Uniao Paraense
2 : 2
Izabelense
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
Independente
03 May
Izabelense
2 : 1
Uniao Paraense
12 Jul
Urumajo
1 : 0
Uniao Paraense
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Independente

(Away)
07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0
Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0
Independente
30 May
Independente
3 : 0
Uniao Paraense
13 May
Izabelense
1 : 2
Independente
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
Independente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caete 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
2 Santos PA 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
3 Canaa 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Paragominas 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Marajo 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
3 Uniao Paraense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carajas 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
2 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Atletico Paraense 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)