Sport Picks

Brazil

Potiguar Women 2024

Alecrim W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uniao RN W play Alecrim W in the Potiguar Women 2024. Uniao RN W are favorites here. Recently, Uniao RN W averaged 4.07 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Alecrim W averaged 0.6 goals scored and 4.7 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao RN W won 2, Alecrim W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 14, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Uniao RN W and 0.56 for Alecrim W. This points to a Uniao RN W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%

Uniao RN W

15%

Draws

16%

Alecrim W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao RN W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Uniao RN W picked up more points recently compared to Alecrim W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 0.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21%

Uniao RN W Clean Sheet 30%

Alecrim W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uniao RN W	Alecrim W
Matches Played	30	10
Wins	19	2
Draws	3	1
Losses	8	7
Goals Scored	4.07	0.6
Goals Conceded	0.63	4.7
Expected Goals (xG)	6.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.13	6.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2024 Potiguar Women

Uniao RN W vs Alecrim W

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Nov 17, 2024 Potiguar Women

Alecrim W vs Uniao RN W

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao RN W 68 / 100

Alecrim W 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uniao RN W Alecrim W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao RN W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Uniao RN W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.2%

1.64

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao RN W attacking → ← attacking Alecrim W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao RN W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Alecrim W let in goals in 90% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Uniao RN W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alecrim W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 7

6.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 6.00