Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie D Municipal Stadium Engineer Luthero Lopes

Capital

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uniao Rondonopolis play Capital in the Serie D. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uniao Rondonopolis averaged 1 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Capital averaged 1.66 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao Rondonopolis won 0, Capital won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 7, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Uniao Rondonopolis and 1.81 for Capital. This points to a Capital double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Uniao Rondonopolis

33%

Draws

46%

Capital

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Capital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Uniao Rondonopolis picked up more points recently compared to Capital.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Uniao Rondonopolis Clean Sheet 11%

Capital Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uniao Rondonopolis	Capital
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	7	14
Draws	10	9
Losses	14	6
Goals Scored	1	1.66
Goals Conceded	1.32	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Serie D

Capital vs Uniao Rondonopolis

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Apr 4, 2026 Serie D

Uniao Rondonopolis vs Capital

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Rondonopolis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Capital Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Nescau

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Rondonopolis 21 / 100

Capital 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uniao Rondonopolis Capital

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Capital or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +61.5%

7.69

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao Rondonopolis attacking → ← attacking Capital

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Rondonopolis scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Capital let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Uniao Rondonopolis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Capital lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 51

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manauara	10	6	4	0	13:5	22
2	Nacional-AM (Manaus)	10	6	2	2	15:9	20
3	Sao Raimundo RR	10	3	4	3	10:7	13
4	Monte Roraima	10	2	4	4	11:14	10
5	Manaus FC	10	2	4	4	8:13	10
6	Gremio Atletico Sampaio	10	1	2	7	8:17	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Guapore	10	6	4	0	19:9	22
2	Porto Velho	10	5	3	2	33:9	18
3	Araguaina	10	5	3	2	31:9	18
4	Independencia Futebol Clube	10	4	3	3	17:10	15
5	Galvez	10	3	1	6	14:31	10
6	SC Humaita	10	0	0	10	4:50	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gama	10	8	2	0	23:6	26
2	Luverdense	10	4	3	3	11:10	15
3	Brasiliense	10	3	5	2	11:10	14
4	Aparecidense	10	3	4	3	13:12	13
5	Primavera AC	10	3	3	4	10:13	12
6	Inhumas	10	0	1	9	3:20	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Capital	10	7	2	1	16:6	23
2	Goiatuba EC	10	5	4	1	13:7	19
3	Ceilandia	10	3	3	4	9:10	12
4	Mixto	10	2	6	2	10:9	12
5	Uniao Rondonopolis	10	2	3	5	11:18	9
6	Operario VG	10	1	2	7	7:16	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trem	10	6	2	2	19:13	20
2	Aguia De Maraba	10	5	3	2	20:11	18
3	Imperatriz	10	4	3	3	15:10	15
4	Tuna Luso	10	3	4	3	14:17	13
5	Tocantinopolis	10	3	3	4	18:18	12
6	Oratorio	10	1	1	8	12:29	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iguatu	10	5	5	0	14:7	20
2	Maracana	10	5	4	1	12:6	19
3	Parnahyba	10	4	2	4	11:13	14
4	Sampaio Correa	10	3	4	3	12:6	13
5	Moto Club	10	2	3	5	8:15	9
6	IAPE	10	0	4	6	10:20	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferroviario	10	6	3	1	15:7	21
2	Piaui	10	5	2	3	14:11	17
3	Fluminense-PI	10	3	5	2	12:9	14
4	AE Altos	10	3	2	5	9:15	11
5	Tirol	10	2	4	4	10:10	10
6	Atletico Cearense	10	1	4	5	6:14	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ABC	10	7	2	1	15:6	23
2	America RN	10	6	3	1	14:3	21
3	Maguary	10	3	4	3	8:5	13
4	Central SC	10	3	4	3	8:7	13
5	Sousa	10	3	1	6	4:11	10
6	Laguna RN	10	0	2	8	3:20	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Treze PB	10	5	2	3	18:14	17
2	Sergipe	10	4	3	3	15:13	15
3	Serra Branca	10	3	6	1	12:8	15
4	Lagarto	10	3	4	3	14:15	13
5	Retro	10	3	3	4	13:15	12
6	Decisao	10	2	2	6	10:17	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CSA	10	6	3	1	25:8	21
2	Juazeirense	10	5	2	3	12:9	17
3	ASA	10	4	4	2	11:7	16
4	Jacuipense	10	3	4	3	12:14	13
5	Clube Sociedade Esportiva	10	2	3	5	10:17	9
6	Alagoinhas	10	1	2	7	5:20	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uberlandia	10	5	3	2	12:8	18
2	Betim FC	10	4	3	3	12:9	15
3	CRAC	10	3	4	3	7:7	13
4	Ivinhema	10	3	4	3	9:12	13
5	ABECAT Ouvidorense	10	3	3	4	8:9	12
6	Operario MS	10	2	3	5	9:12	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Democrata GV	10	5	2	3	13:9	17
2	Tombense	10	4	5	1	13:6	17
3	Vitoria ES	10	4	3	3	12:8	15
4	Rio Branco ES	10	3	4	3	14:12	13
5	Porto-BA	10	3	1	6	9:21	10
6	Real Noroeste	10	1	5	4	6:11	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portuguesa	10	6	3	1	16:6	21
2	Agua Santa	10	5	2	3	16:8	17
3	Portuguesa RJ	10	3	5	2	14:9	14
4	America RJ	10	3	3	4	11:21	12
5	Madureira	10	3	2	5	11:16	11
6	Pouso Alegre	10	2	1	7	6:14	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Piracicaba	10	4	5	1	14:9	17
2	Noroeste	10	4	3	3	12:7	15
3	Velo Clube	10	3	4	3	10:10	13
4	Sampaio Correa FE	10	3	3	4	8:10	12
5	Nova Iguacu	10	3	3	4	7:10	12
6	Marica	10	3	2	5	9:14	11

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Santa Catarina	10	6	1	3	15:9	19
2	Cianorte	10	5	1	4	9:8	16
3	FC Cascavel	10	4	3	3	9:4	15
4	Sao Luiz	10	4	3	3	11:9	15
5	Joinville	10	4	3	3	10:8	15
6	Guarany de Bage	10	1	1	8	2:18	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Blumenau	10	6	1	3	14:8	19
2	Marcilio Dias	10	4	4	2	9:5	16
3	Sao Joseense	10	3	4	3	3:4	13
4	EC Sao Jose (PA)	10	3	4	3	6:8	13
5	Brasil de Pelotas	10	2	4	4	9:12	10
6	Azuriz	10	2	3	5	7:11	9