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Uniao Rondonopolis vs Dom Bosco

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uniao Rondonopolis play Dom Bosco in the Matogrossense 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uniao Rondonopolis averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.12 conceded. Dom Bosco averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao Rondonopolis won 3, Dom Bosco won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 20, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Uniao Rondonopolis and 1.81 for Dom Bosco. This points to a Uniao Rondonopolis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Uniao Rondonopolis
26%
Draws
29%
Dom Bosco
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Uniao Rondonopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Uniao Rondonopolis picked up more points recently compared to Dom Bosco.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Uniao Rondonopolis Clean Sheet 11%
Dom Bosco Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Rondonopolis Dom Bosco
Matches Played 41 32
Wins 14 8
Draws 13 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.17 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2024 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Dom Bosco
2:0
Jan 28, 2023 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Uniao Rondonopolis
1:1
Jan 23, 2022 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Uniao Rondonopolis
1:0
Mar 26, 2021 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Dom Bosco
2:0
Dec 9, 2020 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Dom Bosco
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Rondonopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Padu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Dom Bosco Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Rondonopolis 43 / 100
Dom Bosco 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Rondonopolis Dom Bosco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Uniao Rondonopolis or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao Rondonopolis attacking → ← attacking Dom Bosco

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Rondonopolis scored in 61% of their last 41 games.

Dom Bosco let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Uniao Rondonopolis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dom Bosco lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 32
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 3.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uniao Rondonopolis981019:525
2Cuiaba954020:819
3Luverdense952215:917
4Operario VG942310:1014
5Mixto933312:1312
6Nova Mutum EC93249:911
7Primavera AC91535:88
8Academia92078:146
9Dom Bosco91356:186
10Araguaia91264:145