Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uniao Rondonopolis vs Santa Cruz MT - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) Municipal Stadium Engineer Luthero Lopes, Rondonópolis
Uniao Rondonopolis Logo

Uniao Rondonopolis

1 - 0
FT
Santa Cruz MT Logo

Santa Cruz MT

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Uniao Rondonopolis
15%
Draws
32%
Santa Cruz MT
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Rondonopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uniao Rondonopolis lately — more wins on the board than Santa Cruz MT.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Uniao Rondonopolis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uniao Rondonopolis, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Uniao Rondonopolis Clean Sheet 16%
Santa Cruz MT Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Rondonopolis Santa Cruz MT
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Santa Cruz MT
1:0
Sep 27, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Santa Cruz MT vs Uniao Rondonopolis
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Rondonopolis 31 / 100
Santa Cruz MT 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Rondonopolis Santa Cruz MT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz MT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz MT's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Uniao Rondonopolis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Santa Cruz MT lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Rondonopolis VS Santa Cruz MT
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Rondonopolis

(Home)
07 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
03 Oct
Uirapuru
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
30 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Uirapuru
27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
23 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Chapada
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz MT

(Away)
07 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
30 Sept
Chapada
2 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
2 Chapada 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
3 Santa Cruz MT 5 2 0 3 8:7 6
4 Várzea Grande EC 5 2 0 3 9:13 6
5 Uirapuru 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Sorriso EC 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
3 Cacerense 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
4 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)