Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Uniao Sao Joao play Marilia in the Paulista A3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uniao Sao Joao averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Marilia averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao Sao Joao won 1, Marilia won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.82 for Uniao Sao Joao and 1.46 for Marilia. This points to a Marilia double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Uniao Sao Joao picked up more points recently compared to Marilia.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.82 vs 1.46 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uniao Sao Joao | Marilia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.14 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.43 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uniao Sao Joao Compare
Marilia Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uniao Sao Joao scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
Marilia let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Uniao Sao Joao went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Marilia lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa Santista | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 36 |
| 2 | Marilia | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23:6 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Preto EC | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24:13 | 29 |
| 4 | XV de Jau | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 16:11 | 27 |
| 5 | Rio Claro | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Uniao Barbarense | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16:14 | 24 |
| 7 | EC Sao Bernardo | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:15 | 23 |
| 8 | Paulista | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 23 |
| 9 | Uniao Sao Joao | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 22 |
| 10 | Catanduva FC | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 11 | Bandeirante | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Rio Branco SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Francana | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Itapirense | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14:26 | 9 |
| 15 | Desportivo | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Uniao Suzano | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10:28 | 5 |