Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Unidos do Alvorada vs Parintins

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Unidos do Alvorada play Parintins in the Amazonense 2 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Unidos do Alvorada averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Parintins averaged 1.71 goals scored and 0.98 conceded. In past meetings, Unidos do Alvorada won 2, Parintins won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 23, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Unidos do Alvorada and 0.94 for Parintins. This points to a Unidos do Alvorada double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Unidos do Alvorada
15%
Draws
41%
Parintins
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Unidos do Alvorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Unidos do Alvorada picked up more points recently compared to Parintins.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Unidos do Alvorada Clean Sheet 24%
Parintins Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unidos do Alvorada Parintins
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 15 19
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.7 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.98
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2024 Amazonense
Unidos do Alvorada vs Parintins
0:2
Sep 17, 2022 Amazonense 2
Unidos do Alvorada vs Parintins
0:2
Sep 14, 2022 Amazonense 2
Parintins vs Unidos do Alvorada
1:2
Jul 27, 2022 Amazonense 2
Unidos do Alvorada vs Parintins
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unidos do Alvorada 44 / 100
Parintins 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unidos do Alvorada Parintins

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Unidos do Alvorada or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Unidos do Alvorada attacking → ← attacking Parintins

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unidos do Alvorada scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Parintins let in goals in 63% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Unidos do Alvorada went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Parintins lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 62
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)880031:224
2Unidos do Alvorada861130:719
3Parintins851237:916
4RB do Norte840421:2712
5Manicore830520:339
6Sul America830515:299
7Atletico Amazonense821518:197
8Librade820611:386
9Taruma81168:274