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Union Adarve vs Aravaca CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Union Adarve
15%
Draws
32%
Aravaca CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Adarve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Union Adarve lately — more wins on the board than Aravaca CF.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Union Adarve taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 20%
Aravaca CF Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Adarve Aravaca CF
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Aravaca CF
2:2
Dec 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Union Adarve
1:2
Mar 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Union Adarve
2:2
Oct 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Aravaca CF
1:1
Apr 20, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Aravaca CF
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Adarve 76 / 100
Aravaca CF 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Adarve Aravaca CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Adarve Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aravaca CF let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Union Adarve found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Union Adarve remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Adarve VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Adarve

(Home)
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Aug
Union Adarve
2 : 2
Getafe B
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0
Ciudad de Madrid
03 May
CD Las Rozas
0 : 2
Union Adarve
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1
Galapagar
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Aravaca CF

(Away)
11 May
Carabanchel
1 : 0
Aravaca CF
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2
Aravaca CF
17 Apr
Aravaca CF
1 : 0
Galapagar
13 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
Aravaca CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 38 23 4 11 63:40 73
2 Union Adarve 38 19 9 10 55:41 66
3 Mexico 38 16 15 7 49:28 63
4 CD Mostoles 38 16 14 8 62:41 62
5 Leganes B 38 18 8 12 57:45 62
6 Getafe B 38 17 9 12 54:35 60
7 Atletico Pinto 38 15 13 10 36:30 58
8 RSD Alcala 38 14 15 9 36:28 57
9 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 15 11 12 52:40 56
10 Santa Ana 38 15 8 15 43:54 53
11 Villaverde San Andres 38 13 10 15 41:52 49
12 San Fernando de Henares 38 12 13 13 44:43 49
13 Alcorcon B 38 12 12 14 40:46 48
14 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 11 15 12 40:35 48
15 Rayo Vallecano B 38 12 11 15 57:49 47
16 Trival Valderas 38 11 13 14 44:48 46
17 Alcobendas 38 10 14 14 29:37 44
18 Aravaca CF 38 9 11 18 36:64 38
19 Siello 38 7 10 21 21:57 31
20 Parla 38 4 7 27 21:67 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)