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Union Adarve vs Siello

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017 game between Union Adarve and Siello finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Adarve.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Union Adarve
20%
Draws
42%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Adarve come out ahead of Siello on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Union Adarve's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 17%
Siello Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Adarve Siello
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.42 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Siello
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Union Adarve
2:1
Apr 9, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Siello
3:1
Nov 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Union Adarve
0:1
May 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Siello
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Adarve 48 / 100
Siello 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Adarve Siello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Adarve Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Adarve scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Siello has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Union Adarve stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Adarve VS Siello
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Adarve

(Home)
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Aug
Union Adarve
2 : 2
Getafe B
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0
Ciudad de Madrid
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Siello

(Away)
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
26 Apr
Siello
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 38 23 4 11 63:40 73
2 Union Adarve 38 19 9 10 55:41 66
3 Mexico 38 16 15 7 49:28 63
4 CD Mostoles 38 16 14 8 62:41 62
5 Leganes B 38 18 8 12 57:45 62
6 Getafe B 38 17 9 12 54:35 60
7 Atletico Pinto 38 15 13 10 36:30 58
8 RSD Alcala 38 14 15 9 36:28 57
9 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 15 11 12 52:40 56
10 Santa Ana 38 15 8 15 43:54 53
11 Villaverde San Andres 38 13 10 15 41:52 49
12 San Fernando de Henares 38 12 13 13 44:43 49
13 Alcorcon B 38 12 12 14 40:46 48
14 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 11 15 12 40:35 48
15 Rayo Vallecano B 38 12 11 15 57:49 47
16 Trival Valderas 38 11 13 14 44:48 46
17 Alcobendas 38 10 14 14 29:37 44
18 Aravaca CF 38 9 11 18 36:64 38
19 Siello 38 7 10 21 21:57 31
20 Parla 38 4 7 27 21:67 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)