Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Adarve vs Siello

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Garcia I.
82'
Navarro D.
82'
Navarro D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Union Adarve and Siello finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Adarve.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Union Adarve
20%
Draws
42%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Union Adarve carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Union Adarve taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 68%
Siello Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Adarve Siello
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.42 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Siello
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Union Adarve
2:1
Apr 9, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Siello
3:1
Nov 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Union Adarve
0:1
May 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Siello
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Adarve Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Siello Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Adarve 59 / 100
Siello 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Adarve Siello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Adarve Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Adarve found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Siello let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Union Adarve has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Adarve VS Siello
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Adarve

(Home)
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Aug
Union Adarve
2 : 2
Getafe B
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0
Ciudad de Madrid
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Siello

(Away)
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
26 Apr
Siello
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)