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Union Berlin vs 1. FC Koln - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Berlin host 1. FC Koln in the Bundesliga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Union Berlin at 1.7 goals for, 2.07 against; 1. FC Koln at 1.64 for, 1.79 against. Head-to-head, Union Berlin have won 2 to 1. FC Koln's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.94) back Union Berlin to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Union Berlin
35%
Draws
25%
1. FC Koln
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Berlin come out ahead of 1. FC Koln on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Union Berlin taking it.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
1. FC Koln Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Berlin 1. FC Koln
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Koln
2:2
Dec 20, 2025 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Union Berlin
0:1
May 11, 2024 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Union Berlin
3:2
Dec 20, 2023 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Koln
2:0
Mar 4, 2023 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Koln
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Berlin 38 / 100
1. FC Koln 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Berlin 1. FC Koln

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Berlin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Berlin found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: 1. FC Koln conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Union Berlin remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Berlin VS 1. FC Koln
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Berlin

(Home)
24 Oct
Augsburg
1 : 1
Union Berlin
17 Oct
Union Berlin
0 : 0
Dortmund
10 Oct
Union Berlin
1 : 0
Elversberg
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0
Union Berlin
Page 1 of 6

1. FC Koln

(Away)
24 Oct
1. FC Koln
0 : 0
Schalke
16 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 0
1. FC Koln
11 Oct
1. FC Koln
2 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
03 Oct
FC Viktoria Koln
2 : 2
1. FC Koln
19 Sept
Hamburger
2 : 1
1. FC Koln
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 6 4 2 0 22:5 14
2 Dortmund 6 4 2 0 11:4 14
3 Freiburg 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 16:9 13
5 Mainz 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
6 Elversberg 6 3 1 2 12:11 10
7 RB Leipzig 6 3 0 3 16:11 9
8 Werder Bremen 6 2 3 1 12:12 9
9 Hamburger 6 3 0 3 6:15 9
10 Augsburg 6 2 2 2 16:12 8
11 Eintracht Frankfurt 6 2 2 2 10:16 8
12 1. FC Koln 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
13 Hoffenheim 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
14 VfB Stuttgart 7 2 0 5 10:13 6
15 Schalke 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
16 Paderborn 6 1 2 3 5:9 5
17 Union Berlin 6 1 2 3 5:17 5
18 B. Monchengladbach 7 1 0 6 11:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)